With the first week of college football in the books, it's time to look at the race for the top draft-eligible QB. The rankings, please:
(1) Colt McCoy, Texas (LW: 2): 21/29, 317 yards, 2 TD-1 INT in 59-20 win vs. Louisiana-Monroe
(2) Jevan Snead , Ole Miss (3): 12/22, 175 yards, 2 TD-2 INT in 45-14 win at Memphis
(3) Tim Tebow, Florida (4): 10/15, 188 yards, 1 TD, 2 carries, 1 yard, 1 TD in 62-3 win vs. Charleston Southern
(4) Sam Bradford, Oklahoma (1): 10/14, 96 yards, 1 TD in 14-13 loss vs. BYU
Bradofrd drops to No. 4 largely because of his injury, which has been diagnosed as a grade 2 or 3 elbow sprain. However, with the long-term prognosis still forthcoming, the OU signal-caller has to be dropped to the fourth spot until more can be learned about his health and situation. His numbers were solid in his half of play, despite Oklahoma's offensive shortcomings in that half.
McCoy, however, leapfrogs to the top on the strength of his performance. He led the quartet in passing yards and added 2 scores to his name. His lone blemish was the pick in the second quarter, with the game already well on its way to blowout status.
Snead had a bad first half, looking terrible in throwing 2 first-half interceptions. But he turned it on in the fourth quarter, throwing 2 scores in the period to salt away a 45-14 victory over Memphis. Snead was not spectacular in the game, but we'll get a clearer picture of his skills once he shakes off the rust and gets to the heart of the college football season.
Tebow was solid but not spectacular, completing over 66 percent of his passes and throwing for a score. He only carried twice, including a 1-yard touchdown run. The Florida QB is known for playing his best football in big games, and as the contests get more important, Tebow tends to rise to the occasion.
Monday, September 7, 2009
Saturday, September 5, 2009
Weekend Wrap-up for Week 1
Yes, there's still a handful of games to be played in the opening week, but with the bulk in the books, it's time for THE WEEKEND-WRAP-UP. The "Weekend Wrap-up" will be a regular feature during the college football season. It'll take a look at the draft-eligible players who had big days to bolster their draft stock and bad days to hurt it.
STARS
- USC RB Joe McKnight (Jr) turned in one of the finer performances of his college career, even if it was against San Jose State. McKnight, who came to USC with high expectations but has been largely inconsistent, carried 10 times for 145 yards and 2 scores. He fumbled on his third carry - something he has been prone to do at USC - but dazzled on his touchdown runs, one of them a 54-yard masterpiece in which he made a number of would-be tacklers miss. McKnight didn't open the season as a top-10 back in terms of April 2010 because of his inconsistency, but he opened the season as the #1 RB on the depth chart, and if he can consistently show this skill set, he'll be talked about when the draft rolls around.
- Oklahoma State WR Dez Bryant (Jr) is arguably the top draft-eligible receiver in college football, and he wowed everyone with 3 catches for 77 yards and 2 TDs. His numbers weren't gaudy, but his athleticism was. He made a spectacular 46-yard touchdown grab late in the second quarter, blowing past the secondary and diving to make a remarkable catch. Bryant is a big-play receiver with remarkable skills and a knack for making spectacular grabs, which he showcased Saturday.
- Cal RB Javhid Best (Jr) made his case for the #1 RB slot, as did Georgia Tech's Jonathan Dwyer (Jr). Best carried 10 times for 137 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Dwyer had 7 carries for 95 yards and 2 scores - all in the first half - including a 74-yard scoring run on the first play from scrimmage. Both are among the nation's elite draft-eligible RBs, and it'll be interesting to see how this race develops as the season goes along.
STUMBLERS
- Oklahoma QB Sam Bradford (Jr) suffered an injury to his throwing arm, forcing him to sit out the second half of Oklahoma's loss to BYU. More to come in the Week 1 QB Competition update.
- Clemson RB C.J. Spiller (Sr) opened up his season with a 96-yard kickoff return for a TD but was injured in the second quarter and did not return. The injury is not believed to be serious, according to the Clemson athletic department.
STARS
- USC RB Joe McKnight (Jr) turned in one of the finer performances of his college career, even if it was against San Jose State. McKnight, who came to USC with high expectations but has been largely inconsistent, carried 10 times for 145 yards and 2 scores. He fumbled on his third carry - something he has been prone to do at USC - but dazzled on his touchdown runs, one of them a 54-yard masterpiece in which he made a number of would-be tacklers miss. McKnight didn't open the season as a top-10 back in terms of April 2010 because of his inconsistency, but he opened the season as the #1 RB on the depth chart, and if he can consistently show this skill set, he'll be talked about when the draft rolls around.
- Oklahoma State WR Dez Bryant (Jr) is arguably the top draft-eligible receiver in college football, and he wowed everyone with 3 catches for 77 yards and 2 TDs. His numbers weren't gaudy, but his athleticism was. He made a spectacular 46-yard touchdown grab late in the second quarter, blowing past the secondary and diving to make a remarkable catch. Bryant is a big-play receiver with remarkable skills and a knack for making spectacular grabs, which he showcased Saturday.
- Cal RB Javhid Best (Jr) made his case for the #1 RB slot, as did Georgia Tech's Jonathan Dwyer (Jr). Best carried 10 times for 137 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Dwyer had 7 carries for 95 yards and 2 scores - all in the first half - including a 74-yard scoring run on the first play from scrimmage. Both are among the nation's elite draft-eligible RBs, and it'll be interesting to see how this race develops as the season goes along.
STUMBLERS
- Oklahoma QB Sam Bradford (Jr) suffered an injury to his throwing arm, forcing him to sit out the second half of Oklahoma's loss to BYU. More to come in the Week 1 QB Competition update.
- Clemson RB C.J. Spiller (Sr) opened up his season with a 96-yard kickoff return for a TD but was injured in the second quarter and did not return. The injury is not believed to be serious, according to the Clemson athletic department.
Friday, September 4, 2009
Blount Update: Bye-Bye, 2009
Oregon announced today that it will suspend RB LeGarrette Blount for the duration of the season after he punched Boise State LB Byron Hout last night.
What does this mean for his chances in April 2010? Nothing good. Blount could have used a strong 2009 to bolster his draft stock and make him a viable second- or third-round draft choice. Now, he will sit out all of 2009 and almost certainly ensure he will not be drafted in 2010.
What does this mean for his chances in April 2010? Nothing good. Blount could have used a strong 2009 to bolster his draft stock and make him a viable second- or third-round draft choice. Now, he will sit out all of 2009 and almost certainly ensure he will not be drafted in 2010.
Thursday, September 3, 2009
Blount Punches Ticket to Tumble-Town
In the last post, I anointed Oregon RB LeGarrette Blount as one of the top draft-eligible running backs in college football. Thursday night, he made waves in a way that will likely send him tumbling down early draft boards.
Blount hit the exacta at Boise State, turning in a poor physical and mental performance. He carried 8 times for -5 yards, the worst performance of his college career. Then, during the post-game handshake, Blount punched a Boise State player on the field, and was escorted off by players, coaches and security.
This could be the final straw for Blount, who possesses enormous talent but is now in trouble yet again. In February, he was suspended indefinitely for a "failure to fulfill team obligations," according to Mike Bellotti. The Oregonian reported on February 10 that Blount "[had] been a no-show at various team meetings in the offseason." Now, he could be a no-show for good, as in kicked off the team. The Chip Kelly era started with a resounding thud with the 19-8 loss to Boise State, and now the new coach may be forced to dish out harsh discipline to one of his best players.
At the very least, Blount's antics off the field do not bode well for future character evaluations when the draft nears.
Blount hit the exacta at Boise State, turning in a poor physical and mental performance. He carried 8 times for -5 yards, the worst performance of his college career. Then, during the post-game handshake, Blount punched a Boise State player on the field, and was escorted off by players, coaches and security.
This could be the final straw for Blount, who possesses enormous talent but is now in trouble yet again. In February, he was suspended indefinitely for a "failure to fulfill team obligations," according to Mike Bellotti. The Oregonian reported on February 10 that Blount "[had] been a no-show at various team meetings in the offseason." Now, he could be a no-show for good, as in kicked off the team. The Chip Kelly era started with a resounding thud with the 19-8 loss to Boise State, and now the new coach may be forced to dish out harsh discipline to one of his best players.
At the very least, Blount's antics off the field do not bode well for future character evaluations when the draft nears.
Wednesday, September 2, 2009
Pre-Season Rankings: The RBs
This year's crop of draft-eligible running backs is particularly deep, with as many as 8 players who are possible first- or second-round picks. The talent pool also features a number of juniors who will face a tough decision when it comes time to declare or stick around for one more year.
The rankings:
1) C.J. Spiller, Clemson
2) Jahvid Best, Cal (Jr.)
3) Evan Royster, Penn State (Jr.)
4) Jonathan Dwyer, Georgia Tech (Jr.)
5) LeGarrette Blount, Oregon
6) DeMarco Murray, Oklahoma
7) Noel Devine, West Virginia (Jr.)
8) Charles Scott, LSU
9) Chris Brown, Oklahoma
10) Kendall Hunter, Oklahoma State (Jr.)
Spiller's case is an interesting one. He had a remarkable freshman campaign in 2006, rushing for 938 yards and 10 touchdowns. But his production has dropped off each of the last two years, 768-3 in 2007 and 629-7 in 2008. He is a very good receiving back as well, catching 34 passes each of the last two seasons. If he can reverse his trend of diminishing returns on the ground and showcase the talent that made him an electric back in 2006, he can make a case for No. 1 RB off the board in 2010. The skills are there - he just has to put it all together.
Best has a chance to make his case for No. 1 after an astounding sophomore campaign in which he rushed for 1,580 yards and 15 touchdowns. He has explosive moves, incredible quickness and the ability to bring the crowd to its feet every time he touches the football. If Best displays similar numbers in 2009, not only will he be the top back, but he'll be a top pick in April 2010.
Dwyer is another interesting case. After a decent freshman year in 2007 (436 yards, 9 TDs), he had an incredible 2008, thriving in the newly-installed triple option offense to the tune of 1,395 yards and 12 TDs. Dwyer must prove he has what it takes to put up those numbers (or something similar) in a conventional offense.
The biggest question for this group is: Where does the top tier end? Some people suggest there is a group of four top backs, and the rest aren't worth first-round status. Others say the top three is the top-tier. I'm in the latter group. Royster is a solid back (1,236 yards and 12 TDs in 2008) with the skills necessary for the next level. Dwyer, as mentioned above, needs to prove he can succeed in a conventional offense. If he can, he'll earn first-round status.
The rankings:
1) C.J. Spiller, Clemson
2) Jahvid Best, Cal (Jr.)
3) Evan Royster, Penn State (Jr.)
4) Jonathan Dwyer, Georgia Tech (Jr.)
5) LeGarrette Blount, Oregon
6) DeMarco Murray, Oklahoma
7) Noel Devine, West Virginia (Jr.)
8) Charles Scott, LSU
9) Chris Brown, Oklahoma
10) Kendall Hunter, Oklahoma State (Jr.)
Spiller's case is an interesting one. He had a remarkable freshman campaign in 2006, rushing for 938 yards and 10 touchdowns. But his production has dropped off each of the last two years, 768-3 in 2007 and 629-7 in 2008. He is a very good receiving back as well, catching 34 passes each of the last two seasons. If he can reverse his trend of diminishing returns on the ground and showcase the talent that made him an electric back in 2006, he can make a case for No. 1 RB off the board in 2010. The skills are there - he just has to put it all together.
Best has a chance to make his case for No. 1 after an astounding sophomore campaign in which he rushed for 1,580 yards and 15 touchdowns. He has explosive moves, incredible quickness and the ability to bring the crowd to its feet every time he touches the football. If Best displays similar numbers in 2009, not only will he be the top back, but he'll be a top pick in April 2010.
Dwyer is another interesting case. After a decent freshman year in 2007 (436 yards, 9 TDs), he had an incredible 2008, thriving in the newly-installed triple option offense to the tune of 1,395 yards and 12 TDs. Dwyer must prove he has what it takes to put up those numbers (or something similar) in a conventional offense.
The biggest question for this group is: Where does the top tier end? Some people suggest there is a group of four top backs, and the rest aren't worth first-round status. Others say the top three is the top-tier. I'm in the latter group. Royster is a solid back (1,236 yards and 12 TDs in 2008) with the skills necessary for the next level. Dwyer, as mentioned above, needs to prove he can succeed in a conventional offense. If he can, he'll earn first-round status.
Sunday, August 30, 2009
The QB Competition
The 2010 NFL Draft will feature a star-studded cast of QBs: Florida's Tim Tebow, Texas' Colt McCoy, Oklahoma's Sam Bradford, and Ole Miss' Jevan Snead. At this point in time, this quartet of signal-callers is widely heralded as the cream of the crop.
But who is No. 1? This debate plagued the draft world this past April, when the question of Mark Sanchez or Matt Stafford was raised every day. That question was never truly answered until draft day, when the Lions took Stafford ahead of the Jets' trade to get Sanchez.
So in an attempt to provide more clarity and lend insight to the situation, GTMD will be tracking the competition from week-to-week. Before I rank the four QBs as they currently stand in my book, let me lay out some relevant statistical information (players listed in alphabetical order, so as not to give anything away).
Sam Bradford- 08: 4720 yards, 50 TD-8 INT, 67.9 comp %; 07: 3121 yards, 36 TD-8 INT, 69.5 comp %
Colt McCoy - 08: 3859 yards, 34 TD-8 INT, 76.7 comp % (561 yards rushing, 11 TD); 07: 3303 yards, 22 TD-18 INT, 65.1 comp % (510 yards rushing, 4 TD)
Jevan Snead - 08: 2762 yards, 26 TD-13 INT, 56.3 comp %
Tim Tebow - 08: 2746 yards, 30 TD-4 INT, 64.4 comp % (673 yards rushing, 12 TD); 07: 3286 yards, 32 TD-6 INT, 66.9 comp % (895 yards rushing, 23 TD)
And now, the rankings:
1) Sam Bradford: Here is the true question: Is Bradford a product of his system, or is he for real? He is a very accurate passer with a good arm and good instincts. He put up gaudy numbers last year with over 4700 yards and 50 scores. He is the most complete out of any of the QBs, and opens up as the pre-season No. 1 on this list. However, he has to keep up a similar pace to stay here. It's a bit unfair to expect the same numbers, but he has to keep his mechanics in place and remain consistent throughout the year.
2) Colt McCoy: He has exhibited a tremendous understanding for the game, making smart passes last year (for the most part). He improved his completion percentage and TD-INT ratio from 2007 to 2008, a clear sign that his game is improving from year to year. It'll be hard to take another leap in those categories this year, but consistency is the key for him as well. McCoy has also exhibited good mobility, as evidenced by his rushing stats, and if he stays healthy, he'll challenge Bradford for the top spot.
3) Jevan Snead: His numbers were not spectacular last season by any stretch, and he is far behind the other three in important categories that showcase decision-making skills (TD-INT ratio and comp %). But he has tremendous arm strength and is a year older in the Ole Miss system, something that cannot be underestimated. Snead has a chance to showcase his talent in a very good conference, and could benefit from having some of his toughest tests at home (the Rebels host No. 5 Alabama and No. 11 LSU). If Snead steps up his game, we could be looking at a clustered 1-2-3.
4) Tim Tebow: There's no denying that Tebow is one of the greatest college football players of our generation, and perhaps of all time, but he doesn't strike me as an NFL-type quarterback. He is very mobile, has displayed decent arm strength, can run through people unlike any quarterback in recent memory, and has displayed the grit and determination of champion. But does he fit the mold of an NFL QB? Not really. He'll make a fine fullback, a great special teamer, and a very good gadget player at the next level. But at the moment, Tebow doesn't strike me as someone who can play QB at the next level based on his style of play.
But who is No. 1? This debate plagued the draft world this past April, when the question of Mark Sanchez or Matt Stafford was raised every day. That question was never truly answered until draft day, when the Lions took Stafford ahead of the Jets' trade to get Sanchez.
So in an attempt to provide more clarity and lend insight to the situation, GTMD will be tracking the competition from week-to-week. Before I rank the four QBs as they currently stand in my book, let me lay out some relevant statistical information (players listed in alphabetical order, so as not to give anything away).
Sam Bradford- 08: 4720 yards, 50 TD-8 INT, 67.9 comp %; 07: 3121 yards, 36 TD-8 INT, 69.5 comp %
Colt McCoy - 08: 3859 yards, 34 TD-8 INT, 76.7 comp % (561 yards rushing, 11 TD); 07: 3303 yards, 22 TD-18 INT, 65.1 comp % (510 yards rushing, 4 TD)
Jevan Snead - 08: 2762 yards, 26 TD-13 INT, 56.3 comp %
Tim Tebow - 08: 2746 yards, 30 TD-4 INT, 64.4 comp % (673 yards rushing, 12 TD); 07: 3286 yards, 32 TD-6 INT, 66.9 comp % (895 yards rushing, 23 TD)
And now, the rankings:
1) Sam Bradford: Here is the true question: Is Bradford a product of his system, or is he for real? He is a very accurate passer with a good arm and good instincts. He put up gaudy numbers last year with over 4700 yards and 50 scores. He is the most complete out of any of the QBs, and opens up as the pre-season No. 1 on this list. However, he has to keep up a similar pace to stay here. It's a bit unfair to expect the same numbers, but he has to keep his mechanics in place and remain consistent throughout the year.
2) Colt McCoy: He has exhibited a tremendous understanding for the game, making smart passes last year (for the most part). He improved his completion percentage and TD-INT ratio from 2007 to 2008, a clear sign that his game is improving from year to year. It'll be hard to take another leap in those categories this year, but consistency is the key for him as well. McCoy has also exhibited good mobility, as evidenced by his rushing stats, and if he stays healthy, he'll challenge Bradford for the top spot.
3) Jevan Snead: His numbers were not spectacular last season by any stretch, and he is far behind the other three in important categories that showcase decision-making skills (TD-INT ratio and comp %). But he has tremendous arm strength and is a year older in the Ole Miss system, something that cannot be underestimated. Snead has a chance to showcase his talent in a very good conference, and could benefit from having some of his toughest tests at home (the Rebels host No. 5 Alabama and No. 11 LSU). If Snead steps up his game, we could be looking at a clustered 1-2-3.
4) Tim Tebow: There's no denying that Tebow is one of the greatest college football players of our generation, and perhaps of all time, but he doesn't strike me as an NFL-type quarterback. He is very mobile, has displayed decent arm strength, can run through people unlike any quarterback in recent memory, and has displayed the grit and determination of champion. But does he fit the mold of an NFL QB? Not really. He'll make a fine fullback, a great special teamer, and a very good gadget player at the next level. But at the moment, Tebow doesn't strike me as someone who can play QB at the next level based on his style of play.
Friday, August 28, 2009
Pac-10's Top 10
While at USC football practice Thursday to watch Day 1 of the Matt Barkley era, I spoke at length with a former Daily Trojan colleague of mine, Dan Greenspan, who currently writes for CollegeFootballNews.com. Dan has contributed to this blog before, and this is not the last time his name will show up within its confines.
Dan and I discussed the 2010 draft for a little bit, and he laid out his pre-season Top 10 Draft-Eligible Prospects in the Pac-10 Conference. This is his list.
1. Taylor Mays, S, USC
2. Walter Thurmond, CB, Oregon
3. Rob Gronkowski, TE, Arizona
4. Brian Price, DT, UCLA
5. Charles Brown, OT, USC
6. Syd'Quan Thompson, DB, Cal
7. Damian Williams, WR, USC
8. LeGarrette Blount, RB, Oregon
9. Jahvid Best, RB, Cal
10. Lawrence Guy, DL, ASU
My Take:
Mays is an all-world defensive talent who would have certainly been a first round pick in this past year's draft. With another solid year as the anchor of the USC defense, Mays very well could solidify a top 10 pick in 2010, and likely sneak into the top 5.
Gronkowski is a physical specimen at 6-6, 265, and continues to improve his game each year. He could end up being the first or second TE off the board overall when it's all said and done.
Blount and Best are a pair of talented running backs with tremendous skillsets. I think Best has the potential to rise up this list as the season progresses, and if he reaches his full potential. could be a top-20 pick overall in the 2010 first round.
Dan and I discussed the 2010 draft for a little bit, and he laid out his pre-season Top 10 Draft-Eligible Prospects in the Pac-10 Conference. This is his list.
1. Taylor Mays, S, USC
2. Walter Thurmond, CB, Oregon
3. Rob Gronkowski, TE, Arizona
4. Brian Price, DT, UCLA
5. Charles Brown, OT, USC
6. Syd'Quan Thompson, DB, Cal
7. Damian Williams, WR, USC
8. LeGarrette Blount, RB, Oregon
9. Jahvid Best, RB, Cal
10. Lawrence Guy, DL, ASU
My Take:
Mays is an all-world defensive talent who would have certainly been a first round pick in this past year's draft. With another solid year as the anchor of the USC defense, Mays very well could solidify a top 10 pick in 2010, and likely sneak into the top 5.
Gronkowski is a physical specimen at 6-6, 265, and continues to improve his game each year. He could end up being the first or second TE off the board overall when it's all said and done.
Blount and Best are a pair of talented running backs with tremendous skillsets. I think Best has the potential to rise up this list as the season progresses, and if he reaches his full potential. could be a top-20 pick overall in the 2010 first round.
Tuesday, August 25, 2009
College Football 2009
The 2009 college football season is just a few days away, and with it comes the beginning of more NFL Draft Talk. Yes, late April is still far off in the distance, but it's never too early to start prognosticating and predicting.
In addition, I will have a very unique perspective on college football this year. I'll be covering most of USC's games, including traveling to a majority of the road contests. And given that perspective, I'm going to use it to my advantage.
Any time I see someone play on television, or, more importantly, in person, who is draft eligible, I'm likely to throw up a post on GTMD and talk about that player/players. Stay tuned throughout the regular season for these posts.
Also, be sure to follow Grant Tunkel Mock Draft on Twitter at www.twitter.com/GTMockDraft.
In addition, I will have a very unique perspective on college football this year. I'll be covering most of USC's games, including traveling to a majority of the road contests. And given that perspective, I'm going to use it to my advantage.
Any time I see someone play on television, or, more importantly, in person, who is draft eligible, I'm likely to throw up a post on GTMD and talk about that player/players. Stay tuned throughout the regular season for these posts.
Also, be sure to follow Grant Tunkel Mock Draft on Twitter at www.twitter.com/GTMockDraft.
Saturday, April 25, 2009
Day 1 Winners and Losers
I'll hand out my draft grades tomorrow when all the dust has settled, but I'd like to take a look at a couple of the standout teams from the first day of the 2009 NFL Draft, as well as a couple of teams who clearly missed the mark.
TOP OF THE CLASS
- New York Jets: The Jets knew exactly what they wanted coming into the draft - a franchise QB - and they did everything they could to grab one. Sitting at No. 17 was not going to do the team any good, so they swapped first rounders with Cleveland and gave up a second rounder, as well as three players who would have likely been riding the pine in New York. The end result: Mark Sanchez, a franchise-quality QB.
- Green Bay Packers: The Pack had two first round picks, moving back into the bottom end of the round, and addressed their defense in a big way. B.J. Raji is a force to be reckoned with in the middle of the defensive line, and Clay Matthews is a standout OLB who works hard and can punish opposing ball carriers.
- Cleveland Browns: Cleveland traded down twice and landed the guy they seemed to be targeting from the beginning, Alex Mack, a standout center at Cal. They made three picks in the second round, adding two good receivers and a defensive end with a lot of potential. I thought the pick of Brian Robiskie was a bit of a reach, but he's certainly a hometown favorite with his Ohio State connections.
- New England Patriots: The Pats did a phenomenal job of maneuvering out of the first round, when they clearly didn't want to take anyone at their draft position. They used their four second rounders to pick some good talents (I think Patrick Chung and Darius Butler translate very well to the next level), but their trade work was phenomenal.
- Buffalo Bills: The Bills made four very solid picks. Aaron Maybin excels at getting to the quarterback, and Jairus Byrd is a ballhawking corner who led the Pac-10 in interceptions each of the last two years. Eric Wood is a standout at center, and Andrew Levitre can provide immediate help at the guard position.
HEAD-SCRATCHERS
- Oakland Raiders: What were they thinking? Darrius Heyward-Bey could prove to be enormously talented at the NFL level, but he would have been available at least seven or eight picks later. An enormous reach at No. 7. And the second round pick is a major head scratcher. Michael Mitchell, the safety from Ohio, was apparently valued by many other teams as no more than a Rookie Free Agent.
NOT GREAT BUT NOT AWFUL
- Kansas City Chiefs: Tyson Jackson could end up being a stud in the NFL, but he's a bit of a reach at No. 3.
- San Diego Chargers: Larry English is also an interesting selection. He, too, could end up being very good, but picking him at No. 16 is somewhat of a surprise. The Chargers may have been able to draft him later in the first round, and could have possibly traded down.
TOP OF THE CLASS
- New York Jets: The Jets knew exactly what they wanted coming into the draft - a franchise QB - and they did everything they could to grab one. Sitting at No. 17 was not going to do the team any good, so they swapped first rounders with Cleveland and gave up a second rounder, as well as three players who would have likely been riding the pine in New York. The end result: Mark Sanchez, a franchise-quality QB.
- Green Bay Packers: The Pack had two first round picks, moving back into the bottom end of the round, and addressed their defense in a big way. B.J. Raji is a force to be reckoned with in the middle of the defensive line, and Clay Matthews is a standout OLB who works hard and can punish opposing ball carriers.
- Cleveland Browns: Cleveland traded down twice and landed the guy they seemed to be targeting from the beginning, Alex Mack, a standout center at Cal. They made three picks in the second round, adding two good receivers and a defensive end with a lot of potential. I thought the pick of Brian Robiskie was a bit of a reach, but he's certainly a hometown favorite with his Ohio State connections.
- New England Patriots: The Pats did a phenomenal job of maneuvering out of the first round, when they clearly didn't want to take anyone at their draft position. They used their four second rounders to pick some good talents (I think Patrick Chung and Darius Butler translate very well to the next level), but their trade work was phenomenal.
- Buffalo Bills: The Bills made four very solid picks. Aaron Maybin excels at getting to the quarterback, and Jairus Byrd is a ballhawking corner who led the Pac-10 in interceptions each of the last two years. Eric Wood is a standout at center, and Andrew Levitre can provide immediate help at the guard position.
HEAD-SCRATCHERS
- Oakland Raiders: What were they thinking? Darrius Heyward-Bey could prove to be enormously talented at the NFL level, but he would have been available at least seven or eight picks later. An enormous reach at No. 7. And the second round pick is a major head scratcher. Michael Mitchell, the safety from Ohio, was apparently valued by many other teams as no more than a Rookie Free Agent.
NOT GREAT BUT NOT AWFUL
- Kansas City Chiefs: Tyson Jackson could end up being a stud in the NFL, but he's a bit of a reach at No. 3.
- San Diego Chargers: Larry English is also an interesting selection. He, too, could end up being very good, but picking him at No. 16 is somewhat of a surprise. The Chargers may have been able to draft him later in the first round, and could have possibly traded down.
The Sanchez Scenarios
With Matthew Stafford already locked up as the No. 1 overall pick, all eyes turn to USC QB Mark Sanchez. Where will he fall? Some late-night ESPN viewing can clarify some things:
- Chris Mortensen said there is about a 20% chance the St. Louis Rams will take Sanchez at No. 2
- Both Mel Kiper and Todd McShay believe Sanchez will go off the board when the Seattle Seahawks picks at No. 4.
- Denver Broncos head coach Josh McDaniels told Ed Werder that he does not believe his team will trade up to take Sanchez, nor would he be a lock if he fell to No. 12, the Broncos' first of two first-rounders. He also said the team has not contacted anyone about trading up, but admitted that the Jacksonville Jaguars have contacted him about moving up to No. 8.
- Sal Paolantonio caught up with New York Jets General Manager Mike Tannenbaum after a draft meeting, and the GM told the ESPN reporter that his team is in fact interested in moving up from No. 17, most likely to draft Sanchez. Many people believe it would take the Jets' first-rounder, second-rounder and fourth-rounder to move up to No. 8 to draft the QB. Another scenario that has been floated around involves the Cleveland Browns, Brady Quinn and the No. 5 overall pick.
Other late-night notes:
- With 11 draft picks this year, the New England Patriots could possibly move up into the top 10 to draft some defensive help.
And don't forget, the draft day LIVE BLOG kicks off at 3:45 pm ET/12:45 pm PT.
- Chris Mortensen said there is about a 20% chance the St. Louis Rams will take Sanchez at No. 2
- Both Mel Kiper and Todd McShay believe Sanchez will go off the board when the Seattle Seahawks picks at No. 4.
- Denver Broncos head coach Josh McDaniels told Ed Werder that he does not believe his team will trade up to take Sanchez, nor would he be a lock if he fell to No. 12, the Broncos' first of two first-rounders. He also said the team has not contacted anyone about trading up, but admitted that the Jacksonville Jaguars have contacted him about moving up to No. 8.
- Sal Paolantonio caught up with New York Jets General Manager Mike Tannenbaum after a draft meeting, and the GM told the ESPN reporter that his team is in fact interested in moving up from No. 17, most likely to draft Sanchez. Many people believe it would take the Jets' first-rounder, second-rounder and fourth-rounder to move up to No. 8 to draft the QB. Another scenario that has been floated around involves the Cleveland Browns, Brady Quinn and the No. 5 overall pick.
Other late-night notes:
- With 11 draft picks this year, the New England Patriots could possibly move up into the top 10 to draft some defensive help.
And don't forget, the draft day LIVE BLOG kicks off at 3:45 pm ET/12:45 pm PT.
Friday, April 24, 2009
MOCK DRAFT VERSION 2.0
Here it is folks, the much anticipated mock draft version 2.0. I have mocked out the first two rounds for your viewing pleasure.
ROUND ONE
1. DETROIT LIONS: Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia
2. ST. LOUIS RAMS: Jason Smith, OT, Baylor
3. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS: Aaron Curry, LB, Wake Forest
4. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia
5. CLEVELAND BROWNS: Brian Orakpo, DE/OLB, Texas
6. CINCINNATI BENGALS: Andre Smith, OT, Alabama
7. OAKLAND RAIDERS: Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
8. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: Malcolm Jenkins, CB, Ohio State
9. GREEN BAY PACKERS: B.J. Raji, DT, Boston College
10. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Mark Sanchez, QB, USC
11. BUFFALO BILLS: Tyson Jackson, DE
12. DENVER BRONCOS: Robert Ayers, DE, Tennessee
13. WASHINGTON REDSKINS: Aaron Maybin, DE, Penn State
14. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: Brian Cushing, OLB, USC
15. HOUSTON TEXANS: Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri
16. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: Michael Oher, OT, Ole Miss
17. NEW YORK JETS: Percy Harvin, WR, Florida
18. DENVER BRONCOS (from Chi): Rey Maualuga,, LB, USC
19. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas State
20. DETROIT LIONS (from Dal): Peria Jerry, DT, Ole Miss
21. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia
22. MINNESOTA VIKINGS: Darrius Heward-Bey, WR, Maryland
23. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Clay Matthews, OLB, USC
24. ATLANTA FALCONS: Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois
25. MIAMI DOLPHINS: Hakeem Nicks, WR, North Carolina
26. BALTIMORE RAVENS: Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma State
27. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: Chris Wells, RB, Ohio State
28. BUFFALO BILLS (from Car through Phi): Eben Britton, OT, Arizona
29. NEW YORK GIANTS: Kenny Britt, WR, Rutgers
30. TENNESSEE TITANS: James Laurinaitis, LB, Ohio State
31. ARIZONA CARDINALS: Donald Brown, RB, Connecticut
32. PITTSBURGH STEELERS: Alex Mack, C, California
ROUND TWO
33. DETROIT LIONS: Everette Brown, DE, Florida State
34. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (from KC): Darius Butler, CB, Connecticut
35. ST. LOUIS RAMS: Larry English, DE, Northern Illinois
36. CLEVELAND BROWNS: LeSean McCoy, RB, Pittsburgh
37. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: Louis Delmas, S, Western Michigan
38. CINCINNATI BENGALS: Max Unger, C, Oregon
39. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: Evander Hood, DT, Missouri
40. OAKLAND RAIDERS: William Beatty, OT, Connecticut
41. GREEN BAY PACKERS: Paul Kruger, OT, Utah
42. BUFFALO BILLS: Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest
43. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Rashad Johnson, S, Alabama
44. MIAMI DOLPHINS (from Was): D.J. Moore, CB, Vanderbilt
45. NEW YORK GIANTS (from NO): Clint Sintim, OLB, Virginia
46. HOUSTON TEXANS: Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech
47. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (from SD): Connor Barwin, DE, Cincinnati
48. DENVER BRONCOS: Sean Smith, CB, Utah
49. CHICAGO BEARS: Mohamed Massaquoi, WR, Oklahoma
50. CLEVELAND BROWNS (from TB): Cornelius Ingram, TE, Florida
51. DALLAS COWBOYS: Phil Loadholt, OT, Oklahoma
52. NEW YORK JETS: Andrew Levitre, OG, Oregon State
53. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: Shawn Nelson, TE, Southern Miss
54. MINNESOTA VIKINGS: Eric Wood, C, Louisville
55. ATLANTA FALCONS: Ron Brace, DT, Boston College
56. MIAMI DOLPHINS: Jarron Gilbert, DT, San Jose State
57. BALTIMORE RAVENS: Patrick Chung, S, Oregon
58. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Shonn Greene, RB, Iowa
59. CAROLINA PANTHERS: Lawrence Sidbury, DE, Richmond
60. NEW YORK GIANTS: Jamon Meredith, OT, South Carolina
61. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: Fili Moala, DT, USC
62. TENNESSEE TITANS: Pat White, WR, West Virginia
63. ARIZONA CARDINALS: Cody Brown, OLB, Connecticut
64. PITTSBURGH STEELERS: Sherrod Martin, CB, Troy
ROUND ONE
1. DETROIT LIONS: Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia
2. ST. LOUIS RAMS: Jason Smith, OT, Baylor
3. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS: Aaron Curry, LB, Wake Forest
4. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia
5. CLEVELAND BROWNS: Brian Orakpo, DE/OLB, Texas
6. CINCINNATI BENGALS: Andre Smith, OT, Alabama
7. OAKLAND RAIDERS: Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
8. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: Malcolm Jenkins, CB, Ohio State
9. GREEN BAY PACKERS: B.J. Raji, DT, Boston College
10. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Mark Sanchez, QB, USC
11. BUFFALO BILLS: Tyson Jackson, DE
12. DENVER BRONCOS: Robert Ayers, DE, Tennessee
13. WASHINGTON REDSKINS: Aaron Maybin, DE, Penn State
14. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: Brian Cushing, OLB, USC
15. HOUSTON TEXANS: Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri
16. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: Michael Oher, OT, Ole Miss
17. NEW YORK JETS: Percy Harvin, WR, Florida
18. DENVER BRONCOS (from Chi): Rey Maualuga,, LB, USC
19. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas State
20. DETROIT LIONS (from Dal): Peria Jerry, DT, Ole Miss
21. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia
22. MINNESOTA VIKINGS: Darrius Heward-Bey, WR, Maryland
23. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Clay Matthews, OLB, USC
24. ATLANTA FALCONS: Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois
25. MIAMI DOLPHINS: Hakeem Nicks, WR, North Carolina
26. BALTIMORE RAVENS: Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma State
27. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: Chris Wells, RB, Ohio State
28. BUFFALO BILLS (from Car through Phi): Eben Britton, OT, Arizona
29. NEW YORK GIANTS: Kenny Britt, WR, Rutgers
30. TENNESSEE TITANS: James Laurinaitis, LB, Ohio State
31. ARIZONA CARDINALS: Donald Brown, RB, Connecticut
32. PITTSBURGH STEELERS: Alex Mack, C, California
ROUND TWO
33. DETROIT LIONS: Everette Brown, DE, Florida State
34. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (from KC): Darius Butler, CB, Connecticut
35. ST. LOUIS RAMS: Larry English, DE, Northern Illinois
36. CLEVELAND BROWNS: LeSean McCoy, RB, Pittsburgh
37. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: Louis Delmas, S, Western Michigan
38. CINCINNATI BENGALS: Max Unger, C, Oregon
39. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: Evander Hood, DT, Missouri
40. OAKLAND RAIDERS: William Beatty, OT, Connecticut
41. GREEN BAY PACKERS: Paul Kruger, OT, Utah
42. BUFFALO BILLS: Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest
43. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Rashad Johnson, S, Alabama
44. MIAMI DOLPHINS (from Was): D.J. Moore, CB, Vanderbilt
45. NEW YORK GIANTS (from NO): Clint Sintim, OLB, Virginia
46. HOUSTON TEXANS: Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech
47. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (from SD): Connor Barwin, DE, Cincinnati
48. DENVER BRONCOS: Sean Smith, CB, Utah
49. CHICAGO BEARS: Mohamed Massaquoi, WR, Oklahoma
50. CLEVELAND BROWNS (from TB): Cornelius Ingram, TE, Florida
51. DALLAS COWBOYS: Phil Loadholt, OT, Oklahoma
52. NEW YORK JETS: Andrew Levitre, OG, Oregon State
53. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: Shawn Nelson, TE, Southern Miss
54. MINNESOTA VIKINGS: Eric Wood, C, Louisville
55. ATLANTA FALCONS: Ron Brace, DT, Boston College
56. MIAMI DOLPHINS: Jarron Gilbert, DT, San Jose State
57. BALTIMORE RAVENS: Patrick Chung, S, Oregon
58. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Shonn Greene, RB, Iowa
59. CAROLINA PANTHERS: Lawrence Sidbury, DE, Richmond
60. NEW YORK GIANTS: Jamon Meredith, OT, South Carolina
61. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: Fili Moala, DT, USC
62. TENNESSEE TITANS: Pat White, WR, West Virginia
63. ARIZONA CARDINALS: Cody Brown, OLB, Connecticut
64. PITTSBURGH STEELERS: Sherrod Martin, CB, Troy
Draft Day Liveblog
I wanted to remind everyone that I will be LIVEBLOGGING the NFL Draft from the comforts of my couch. You can follow along RIGHT HERE on this site, thanks to the folks at CoverItLive.com, who will be providing the live blog application.
Mock 2.0 Coming Soon
I apologize for not releasing Mock Draft v 2.0 earlier, but the combination of school work, new information on team needs/desires, and trades that did or did not happen has made me make quite a few changes in the last handful of days. That being said, I plan to release the first-round by tonight and possibly the second round later on. Stay tuned.
Monday, April 20, 2009
KSCR Top 12
The men of Monday Morning Quarterback, the leadoff program on KSCR 1560 AM Los Angeles, went through their top 12 picks in the 2009 NFL Draft. Myself, Bryan Fischer and Phil Wallace mocked out the the beginning of the first round, with a slew of surprises and interesting picks. Take a look.
1. Detroit Lions (Grant): Jason Smith, OT, Baylor
2. St. Louis Rams (Bryan): Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
3. Kansas City Chiefs (Phil): Aaron Curry, LB, Wake Forest
4. Seattle Seahawks (Grant): Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia
5. Cleveland Browns (Bryan): Brian Orakpo, DE/OLB, Texas
6. Cincinnati Bengals (Phil): Andre Smith, OT, Alabama
7. Oakland Raiders (Grant): Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri
8. Jacksonville Jaguars (Bryan): B.J. Raji, DT, Boston College
9. Green Bay Packers (Phil): Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU
10. San Francisco 49ers (Grant): Matt Stafford, QB, Georgia
11. Buffalo Bills (Bryan): Aaron Maybin, DE, Penn State
12. Denver Broncos (Phil): Mark Sanchez, QB, USC
1. Detroit Lions (Grant): Jason Smith, OT, Baylor
2. St. Louis Rams (Bryan): Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
3. Kansas City Chiefs (Phil): Aaron Curry, LB, Wake Forest
4. Seattle Seahawks (Grant): Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia
5. Cleveland Browns (Bryan): Brian Orakpo, DE/OLB, Texas
6. Cincinnati Bengals (Phil): Andre Smith, OT, Alabama
7. Oakland Raiders (Grant): Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri
8. Jacksonville Jaguars (Bryan): B.J. Raji, DT, Boston College
9. Green Bay Packers (Phil): Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU
10. San Francisco 49ers (Grant): Matt Stafford, QB, Georgia
11. Buffalo Bills (Bryan): Aaron Maybin, DE, Penn State
12. Denver Broncos (Phil): Mark Sanchez, QB, USC
Friday, April 17, 2009
BREAKING NEWS: Bills/Eagles Trade
We're slightly more than a week away from the beginning of the draft, and already first-round picks are trading hands.
The Philadelphia Eagles and Buffalo Bills agreed to a trade today, >according to NFL.com. The Bills will send All-Pro OT Joe Peters to Philly, in exchange for three draft picks:
- the 28th overall selection in the 2009 draft, the Eagles' second of two first-rounders
- a 4th-round pick in the 2009 draft
- a 6th-round pick in the 2010 draft
Peters addresses one of Philly's immediate needs, which is at offensive tackle, and allows them to a different direction at No. 21. Buffalo, armed with two first-round picks, can use the draft to make some major upgrades to its defense.
The Philadelphia Eagles and Buffalo Bills agreed to a trade today, >according to NFL.com. The Bills will send All-Pro OT Joe Peters to Philly, in exchange for three draft picks:
- the 28th overall selection in the 2009 draft, the Eagles' second of two first-rounders
- a 4th-round pick in the 2009 draft
- a 6th-round pick in the 2010 draft
Peters addresses one of Philly's immediate needs, which is at offensive tackle, and allows them to a different direction at No. 21. Buffalo, armed with two first-round picks, can use the draft to make some major upgrades to its defense.
Mock Draft v 1.0
I present to you the first version of my mock draft. It is already being tweaked, with version two due out at the end of the weekend or some time early next week. Enjoy.
1. DETROIT LIONS: OT Jason Smith, Baylor
2. ST. LOUIS RAMS: OT Eugene Monroe, Virginia
3. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS: LB Aaron Curry, Wake Forest
4. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: QB Mark Sanchez, USC
5. CLEVELAND BROWNS: WR Michael Crabtree, Texas Tech
6. CINCINNATI BENGALS: DE/OT Brian Orakpo, Texas
7. OAKLAND RAIDERS: WR Jeremy Maclin, Missouri
8. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: DE Aaron Maybin, Penn State
9. GREEN BAY PACKERS: DT B.J. Raji, Boston College
10. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: QB Matthew Stafford, Georgia
11. BUFFALO BILLS: DE Robert Ayers, Tennessee
12. DENVER BRONCOS: DE Tyson Jackson, LSU
13. WASHINGTON REDSKINS: OT Andre Smith, Alabama
14. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: RB Chris Wells, Ohio State
15. HOUSTON TEXANS: CB Malcolm Jenkins, Ohio State
16. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: LB Rey Maualuga, USC
17. NEW YORK JETS: WR Percy Harvin, Florida
18. DENVER BRONCOS (from Chicago): DT Peria Jerry, Ole Miss
19. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: QB Josh Freeman, Kansas State
20. DETROIT LIONS (from Dallas): OT Michael Oher, Ole Mmiss
21. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: RB Knowshon Moreno, Georgia
22. MINNESOTA VIKINGS: WR Darius Heyward-Bey, Maryland
23. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: LB Clay Matthews, USC
24. ATLANTA FALCONS: DE Everette Brown, FSU
25. MIAMI DOLPHINS: WR Hakeem Nicks, UNC
26. BALTIMORE RAVENS: LB Brian Cushing, USC
27. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: LB James Laurinaitis, Ohio State
28. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (from Carolina): OT Eben Britton, Arizona
29. NEW YORK GIANTS: WR Kenny Britt, Rutgers
30. TENNESSEE TITANS: CB Vontae Davis, Illinois
31. ARIZONA CARDINALS: DE Larry English, Northern Illinois
32. PITTSBURGH STEELERS: C Alex Mack, California
Best Left:
TE Brandon Pettigrew, Oklahoma State
RB Donald Brown, Connecticut
RB LeSean McCoy, Pittsburgh
CB Darius Butler, Connecticut
S Louis Delmas, Western Michigan
1. DETROIT LIONS: OT Jason Smith, Baylor
2. ST. LOUIS RAMS: OT Eugene Monroe, Virginia
3. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS: LB Aaron Curry, Wake Forest
4. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: QB Mark Sanchez, USC
5. CLEVELAND BROWNS: WR Michael Crabtree, Texas Tech
6. CINCINNATI BENGALS: DE/OT Brian Orakpo, Texas
7. OAKLAND RAIDERS: WR Jeremy Maclin, Missouri
8. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: DE Aaron Maybin, Penn State
9. GREEN BAY PACKERS: DT B.J. Raji, Boston College
10. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: QB Matthew Stafford, Georgia
11. BUFFALO BILLS: DE Robert Ayers, Tennessee
12. DENVER BRONCOS: DE Tyson Jackson, LSU
13. WASHINGTON REDSKINS: OT Andre Smith, Alabama
14. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: RB Chris Wells, Ohio State
15. HOUSTON TEXANS: CB Malcolm Jenkins, Ohio State
16. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: LB Rey Maualuga, USC
17. NEW YORK JETS: WR Percy Harvin, Florida
18. DENVER BRONCOS (from Chicago): DT Peria Jerry, Ole Miss
19. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: QB Josh Freeman, Kansas State
20. DETROIT LIONS (from Dallas): OT Michael Oher, Ole Mmiss
21. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: RB Knowshon Moreno, Georgia
22. MINNESOTA VIKINGS: WR Darius Heyward-Bey, Maryland
23. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: LB Clay Matthews, USC
24. ATLANTA FALCONS: DE Everette Brown, FSU
25. MIAMI DOLPHINS: WR Hakeem Nicks, UNC
26. BALTIMORE RAVENS: LB Brian Cushing, USC
27. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: LB James Laurinaitis, Ohio State
28. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (from Carolina): OT Eben Britton, Arizona
29. NEW YORK GIANTS: WR Kenny Britt, Rutgers
30. TENNESSEE TITANS: CB Vontae Davis, Illinois
31. ARIZONA CARDINALS: DE Larry English, Northern Illinois
32. PITTSBURGH STEELERS: C Alex Mack, California
Best Left:
TE Brandon Pettigrew, Oklahoma State
RB Donald Brown, Connecticut
RB LeSean McCoy, Pittsburgh
CB Darius Butler, Connecticut
S Louis Delmas, Western Michigan
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Cutler and the Draft
As the Jay Cutler saga continues in Denver, a number of teams have turned their attention to the situation. And clearly, this will have an enormous affect on the draft.
First and foremost, if Cutler is traded from the Broncos, they would sit pretty at No. 12 to possibly take a quarterback. I do believe either Matthew Stafford or Mark Sanchez will be available at that position, and the Broncos would clearly have to take a quarterback. That is, unless they instead choose to go the one-year rental route (a la Jeff Garcia).
Among the teams interested in Cutler:
Detroit Lions (picks 1 and 20)
New York Jets (pick 17)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (pick 19)
Minnesota Vikings (pick 22)
Clearly, if either of these teams - or any other team for that matter - acquires Cutler, their draft day needs will be drastically altered. Furthermore, the Broncos would at the very least acquire the team's first- and third-round picks in exchange for Cutler, giving Denver quite the drafting arsenal.
As the situation continues to unfold, the draft day picture will continue to develop.
First and foremost, if Cutler is traded from the Broncos, they would sit pretty at No. 12 to possibly take a quarterback. I do believe either Matthew Stafford or Mark Sanchez will be available at that position, and the Broncos would clearly have to take a quarterback. That is, unless they instead choose to go the one-year rental route (a la Jeff Garcia).
Among the teams interested in Cutler:
Detroit Lions (picks 1 and 20)
New York Jets (pick 17)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (pick 19)
Minnesota Vikings (pick 22)
Clearly, if either of these teams - or any other team for that matter - acquires Cutler, their draft day needs will be drastically altered. Furthermore, the Broncos would at the very least acquire the team's first- and third-round picks in exchange for Cutler, giving Denver quite the drafting arsenal.
As the situation continues to unfold, the draft day picture will continue to develop.
Sunday, March 1, 2009
Free Agency Making Waves
We're less than a week into free agency, and already the open market is causing a stir. A lot of faces changing places, and, from a draft perspective, it is helping to make the pictures a bit clearer - or in some cases, a bit muddiers.
Kansas City Chiefs: The acquisition of Matt Cassel guarantees the Chiefs will not be using the No. 3 overall pick to select a quarterback. Instead, they'll almost certainly improve their defense. Look for LB Aaron Curry to be the pick for KC. Plus, think about how he'll be able to learn from the other Patriot acquired via trade, Mike Vrabel.
New York Jets: The Jets have once again been incredibly busy, signing former Raven Bart Scott and trading for Lito Sheppard. There are also heavy rumors New York will make a run for safety Jim Leonhard and cornerback Corey Ivy. As Rex Ryan continues to raid his former team, the Jets continue to present a draft day question mark. Will they target USC QB Mark Sanchez? If they acquire Ivy, will they still go after the best available defensive back? Are Florida State's Everette Brown or LSU's Tyson Jackson, both defensive ends, in the cards? And with the release of Laveranues Coles, is a wide receiver possible? Still a lot of questions left to be answered.
Denver Broncos: The Broncos have brought in four defensive players thus far, including S Brian Dawkins. I don't think they're done adding to that side of the ball. If one of the big three offensive tackles falls to them at No. 12, they'd have to consider, but with a new 3-4 scheme being put in place, I think one of the edge rushing defensive ends would be the fit here.
Washington Redskins: The signings of Albert Haynesworth and DeAngelo Hall (re-signed) mean the 'Skins will have a formidable defense this year. I'd expect them to make a run for one of those offensive tackles, perhaps by trading up in to the back end of the top 10.
Kansas City Chiefs: The acquisition of Matt Cassel guarantees the Chiefs will not be using the No. 3 overall pick to select a quarterback. Instead, they'll almost certainly improve their defense. Look for LB Aaron Curry to be the pick for KC. Plus, think about how he'll be able to learn from the other Patriot acquired via trade, Mike Vrabel.
New York Jets: The Jets have once again been incredibly busy, signing former Raven Bart Scott and trading for Lito Sheppard. There are also heavy rumors New York will make a run for safety Jim Leonhard and cornerback Corey Ivy. As Rex Ryan continues to raid his former team, the Jets continue to present a draft day question mark. Will they target USC QB Mark Sanchez? If they acquire Ivy, will they still go after the best available defensive back? Are Florida State's Everette Brown or LSU's Tyson Jackson, both defensive ends, in the cards? And with the release of Laveranues Coles, is a wide receiver possible? Still a lot of questions left to be answered.
Denver Broncos: The Broncos have brought in four defensive players thus far, including S Brian Dawkins. I don't think they're done adding to that side of the ball. If one of the big three offensive tackles falls to them at No. 12, they'd have to consider, but with a new 3-4 scheme being put in place, I think one of the edge rushing defensive ends would be the fit here.
Washington Redskins: The signings of Albert Haynesworth and DeAngelo Hall (re-signed) mean the 'Skins will have a formidable defense this year. I'd expect them to make a run for one of those offensive tackles, perhaps by trading up in to the back end of the top 10.
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Post-Combine Thoughts
[Note: I apologize for the lack of any substantive posting during the Combine. Such is the life of a college student.]
There's nothing like the NFL Combine, really. The eyes of the football world turn to Indianapolis to see how high a guy can jump, how far he can jump when standing still, and how many reps he can do on the bench press.
Do you get two points if your starting defensive tackle can do 28 reps at 225? No?
The combine did, however, provide us with some clarity in a couple of situations. The offensive tackle picture became a little less muddier. Andre Smith decided it would be a good idea to leave the Combine early and not tell anyone. This erratic move, coupled with his Sugar Bowl suspension and weight issues, clearly makes him the No. 3 offensive tackle. As for the other two - Jason Smith and Eugene Monroe - some people believe Smith has the slight edge. When it's all said and done, all three will be first round draft picks, but I still hold to the belief that Monroe will be the first tackle off the board.
Aside from that, I wouldn't say there were major changes at other positions. Matthew Stafford is still the guy at quarterback, with Mark Sanchez a close second. On the defensive side of the ball, the top players at each position remain intact.
In other words, the Combine served to reinforce our beliefs - not change them.
There's nothing like the NFL Combine, really. The eyes of the football world turn to Indianapolis to see how high a guy can jump, how far he can jump when standing still, and how many reps he can do on the bench press.
Do you get two points if your starting defensive tackle can do 28 reps at 225? No?
The combine did, however, provide us with some clarity in a couple of situations. The offensive tackle picture became a little less muddier. Andre Smith decided it would be a good idea to leave the Combine early and not tell anyone. This erratic move, coupled with his Sugar Bowl suspension and weight issues, clearly makes him the No. 3 offensive tackle. As for the other two - Jason Smith and Eugene Monroe - some people believe Smith has the slight edge. When it's all said and done, all three will be first round draft picks, but I still hold to the belief that Monroe will be the first tackle off the board.
Aside from that, I wouldn't say there were major changes at other positions. Matthew Stafford is still the guy at quarterback, with Mark Sanchez a close second. On the defensive side of the ball, the top players at each position remain intact.
In other words, the Combine served to reinforce our beliefs - not change them.
Sunday, February 15, 2009
Combine Approaching: Part I
The NFL's annual draft combine begins Wednesday in Indianapolis, and for many players, this is a pivotal point in the pre-draft process. The combine can make some players - and it can break some players. Perform poorly, and your stock plummets. Impress the scouts, you could see yourself rising the draft charts.
Let's take a look at a couple of these make or break prospects on the offensive side of the ball.
Quarterback: Chase Daniel (Missouri), Graham Harrell (Texas Tech)
Both players have seen their stocks drop like a rock since the pre-draft rounds began. A good combine could go a long way towards restoring their value, and might push them into the top seven or eight signal-callers. A bad combine could very well seal these two players' fate; we could be talking about being drafted in the fifth round or later - if at all.
Running Back: Glen Coffee (Alabama), P.J. Hill (Wisconsin)
Coffee is towards the bottom of the second tier of running backs in this draft. A good combine might make him the fourth back off the board, but a bad combine could push him out of the top 10. Hill is at a disadvantage because he is at the bottom end of the height spectrum (5'11") but at the top end of the weight spectrum (265 pounds). If he can use the combine to show that he can be a bigger version of Jacob Hester, he'll certainly get looks from teams in the fourth or fifth round. But if he doesn't show the versatility of the lighter running backs, Hill will be looked at as a late-round fullback at best.
Wide Receiver: Patrick Turner (USC), Mike Thomas (Arizona)
Turner must have a good combine to stay on teams' minds. At 6'5" tall and 221 pounds, he certainly has the size. But he has underachieved throughout his college career, and he has to show teams he has the drive and desire to be a top receiver. Turner is falling off of many draft boards, but a good combine could put him back on. Thomas, on the other hand, is undersized at 5'8" tall and 187 pounds. He must prove to teams that his lack of size is not a severe disadvantage.
Tight End: Only 16 tight ends were invited to the combine this year, and basically everyone other than Brandon Pettigrew (Oklahoma State) has something to prove.
Offensive Line: This is a weak class in terms of guards and centers, while the tackles are pretty strong. I think the big thing to watch will be who differentiates themselves in the big four of Eugene Monroe (Virginia), Jason Smith (Baylor), Andre Smith (Alabama) and Michael Oher (Mississippi). The question remains as to who is number one in this group. The combine may be able to answer that question.
Let's take a look at a couple of these make or break prospects on the offensive side of the ball.
Quarterback: Chase Daniel (Missouri), Graham Harrell (Texas Tech)
Both players have seen their stocks drop like a rock since the pre-draft rounds began. A good combine could go a long way towards restoring their value, and might push them into the top seven or eight signal-callers. A bad combine could very well seal these two players' fate; we could be talking about being drafted in the fifth round or later - if at all.
Running Back: Glen Coffee (Alabama), P.J. Hill (Wisconsin)
Coffee is towards the bottom of the second tier of running backs in this draft. A good combine might make him the fourth back off the board, but a bad combine could push him out of the top 10. Hill is at a disadvantage because he is at the bottom end of the height spectrum (5'11") but at the top end of the weight spectrum (265 pounds). If he can use the combine to show that he can be a bigger version of Jacob Hester, he'll certainly get looks from teams in the fourth or fifth round. But if he doesn't show the versatility of the lighter running backs, Hill will be looked at as a late-round fullback at best.
Wide Receiver: Patrick Turner (USC), Mike Thomas (Arizona)
Turner must have a good combine to stay on teams' minds. At 6'5" tall and 221 pounds, he certainly has the size. But he has underachieved throughout his college career, and he has to show teams he has the drive and desire to be a top receiver. Turner is falling off of many draft boards, but a good combine could put him back on. Thomas, on the other hand, is undersized at 5'8" tall and 187 pounds. He must prove to teams that his lack of size is not a severe disadvantage.
Tight End: Only 16 tight ends were invited to the combine this year, and basically everyone other than Brandon Pettigrew (Oklahoma State) has something to prove.
Offensive Line: This is a weak class in terms of guards and centers, while the tackles are pretty strong. I think the big thing to watch will be who differentiates themselves in the big four of Eugene Monroe (Virginia), Jason Smith (Baylor), Andre Smith (Alabama) and Michael Oher (Mississippi). The question remains as to who is number one in this group. The combine may be able to answer that question.
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Favre Gone; Is Sanchez Next?
With yesterday's announcement that Brett Favre would be retiring, let the speculation begin: Who will be the next quarterback of the New York Jets?
The Jets have three QBs currently on their roster: Kellen Clemens, Erik Ainge and Brett Ratliff. But they also have the No. 17 overall pick, and there is heavy speculation that USC QB Mark Sanchez could fall to New York. The Trojans gunslinger would be a welcome addition in NY. He is in the pro mold with an excellent arm and good smarts. He makes pretty good reads and can be effective in short-yardage and home run ball situations.
There is some question, however, as to whether or not Sanchez will be available at 17. There is widespread speculation that the Kansas City Chiefs (3rd overall) and San Francisco 49ers (10th overall) are interested in taking Sanchez, if he isn't drafted by the Detroit Lions with the first overall selection.
There is also the possibility of the Jets trading down in the first round and selecting Kansas State's Josh Freeman, although it is more likely that they will take one of the big two or no QB at all.
I think Sanchez will be available at 17, and it will be hard for the Jets to pass him up, given his skill level coming out of a pro system at USC. If you asked me to mock the draft today, Sanchez would be a Jet.
The Jets have three QBs currently on their roster: Kellen Clemens, Erik Ainge and Brett Ratliff. But they also have the No. 17 overall pick, and there is heavy speculation that USC QB Mark Sanchez could fall to New York. The Trojans gunslinger would be a welcome addition in NY. He is in the pro mold with an excellent arm and good smarts. He makes pretty good reads and can be effective in short-yardage and home run ball situations.
There is some question, however, as to whether or not Sanchez will be available at 17. There is widespread speculation that the Kansas City Chiefs (3rd overall) and San Francisco 49ers (10th overall) are interested in taking Sanchez, if he isn't drafted by the Detroit Lions with the first overall selection.
There is also the possibility of the Jets trading down in the first round and selecting Kansas State's Josh Freeman, although it is more likely that they will take one of the big two or no QB at all.
I think Sanchez will be available at 17, and it will be hard for the Jets to pass him up, given his skill level coming out of a pro system at USC. If you asked me to mock the draft today, Sanchez would be a Jet.
Sunday, February 8, 2009
OT: Who is Number 1?
That seems to be the question these days. There's a quartet of highly-talented offensive tackles in this year's draft: Alabama's Andre Smith, Virginia's Eugene Monroe, Baylor's Jason Smith and Mississippi's Michael Oher. All four tackles should be first round picks. But who is the top of the class?
It's an interesting question. Let's take a look at the tale of the tape for these four stars.
They're pretty comparable in size, with Smith being the smallest of the four. But size isn't the only thing when judging offensive tackles. Robert Gallery was 6'7" and roughly 325 pounds when the Raiders drafted him, and he has not been the model of consistency on Oakland's offensive line.
So who gets the nod at #1? Andre Smith was the early favorite, but Monroe has moved into that position, with Jason Smith also seeing some play in the top slot. At this moment, I'm going to give Monroe the slight edge. His injury issues have been documented, but he is a powerful force who combines speed and strength. His agility at the position is incredible, and can start from day one.
Both of the Smiths are viable options and cannot be discounted. However, I think the MCL injury sustained by Jason last season, and the bowl-game suspension of Andre could scare some teams off. In terms of sheer physicality, Andre gets the edge. But Monroe's combination of size and speed is striking.
Oher is also a fine player, and his life story is an incredible one. But his speed is not as good as the other three, and thus will most likely be the fourth offensive tackle off the board.
It's an interesting question. Let's take a look at the tale of the tape for these four stars.
| Name | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Smith | 6'4-7/8" | 341 |
| Eugene Monroe | 6'5-1/8" | 310 |
| Jason Smith | 6'4-1/2" | 300 |
| Michael Oher | 6'5" | 330 |
They're pretty comparable in size, with Smith being the smallest of the four. But size isn't the only thing when judging offensive tackles. Robert Gallery was 6'7" and roughly 325 pounds when the Raiders drafted him, and he has not been the model of consistency on Oakland's offensive line.
So who gets the nod at #1? Andre Smith was the early favorite, but Monroe has moved into that position, with Jason Smith also seeing some play in the top slot. At this moment, I'm going to give Monroe the slight edge. His injury issues have been documented, but he is a powerful force who combines speed and strength. His agility at the position is incredible, and can start from day one.
Both of the Smiths are viable options and cannot be discounted. However, I think the MCL injury sustained by Jason last season, and the bowl-game suspension of Andre could scare some teams off. In terms of sheer physicality, Andre gets the edge. But Monroe's combination of size and speed is striking.
Oher is also a fine player, and his life story is an incredible one. But his speed is not as good as the other three, and thus will most likely be the fourth offensive tackle off the board.
Tuesday, February 3, 2009
Mock Critique: McShay 1.0
Todd McShay released his first mock draft, and it is chock full of, well, different stuff. You've been seeing a lot of the same from many of the experts, but McShay is taking a different route.
He has plugged Baylor OT Jason Smith into the number two hole, although he acknowledges the St. Louis Rams have multiple options at the position. He finally listened to me (or so I'll say) in giving the Kansas City Chiefs an OLB at three, not a quarterback. Scott Pioli will go defense first, and that means Aaron Curry.
Which leaves the question: Where does Mark Sanchez go? The answer: The New York Jets at 17. I completely agree; if Sanchez manages to slip past the 49ers, he will fall all the way to 17, and the Jets can't pass him up. It's a no-brainer to make that selection.
I disagree, however, with his pick at 18. The Chicago Bears shouldn't take Florida WR Percy Harvin. They already have a big-time playmaker in Devin Hester, and with Hester playing on offense more and more, adding Harvin makes no sense.
The rest of his draft is pretty agreeable, although I don't think the Philadelphia Eagles will take TE Brandon Pettigrew if OT Michael Oher is still on the board.
One other note: McShay has the New England Patriots taking USC LB Clay Matthews at 23. What a story that would be. The former walk-on with a football pedigree becomes a first round pick.
He has plugged Baylor OT Jason Smith into the number two hole, although he acknowledges the St. Louis Rams have multiple options at the position. He finally listened to me (or so I'll say) in giving the Kansas City Chiefs an OLB at three, not a quarterback. Scott Pioli will go defense first, and that means Aaron Curry.
Which leaves the question: Where does Mark Sanchez go? The answer: The New York Jets at 17. I completely agree; if Sanchez manages to slip past the 49ers, he will fall all the way to 17, and the Jets can't pass him up. It's a no-brainer to make that selection.
I disagree, however, with his pick at 18. The Chicago Bears shouldn't take Florida WR Percy Harvin. They already have a big-time playmaker in Devin Hester, and with Hester playing on offense more and more, adding Harvin makes no sense.
The rest of his draft is pretty agreeable, although I don't think the Philadelphia Eagles will take TE Brandon Pettigrew if OT Michael Oher is still on the board.
One other note: McShay has the New England Patriots taking USC LB Clay Matthews at 23. What a story that would be. The former walk-on with a football pedigree becomes a first round pick.
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Center: One Man Band
I'm not going to pretend to have extensive knowledge about the centers available in this year's draft. In fact, I've only truly analyzed the play of two of them. But from reading a number of different scouting services, and watching one player in particular, it's clear that only one man is fit for the job of first center off the board: California's Alex Mack.
Mack was truly the gold standard for centers in the Pac-10 (a conference I'm familiar with) as well as around the country. At 6'3", 310 pounds, he has the necessary size to translate to the next level. He has been a finalist for the Rimington Trophy, awarded to the nation's top center, each of the last two seasons. And he was awarded the 2008 Draddy Trophy as the top scholar-athlete in all of college football. In other words, he has the skills and the brains to be an NFL player.
Mack currently sits at No. 32 on ESPN.com's Scouts Inc. board, and I would not be surprised if a team took a chance on him late in the first round.
Other Names to Watch: Max Unger (Oregon), Johnathan Luigs (Arkansas), A.Q. Shipley (Penn State)
Mack was truly the gold standard for centers in the Pac-10 (a conference I'm familiar with) as well as around the country. At 6'3", 310 pounds, he has the necessary size to translate to the next level. He has been a finalist for the Rimington Trophy, awarded to the nation's top center, each of the last two seasons. And he was awarded the 2008 Draddy Trophy as the top scholar-athlete in all of college football. In other words, he has the skills and the brains to be an NFL player.
Mack currently sits at No. 32 on ESPN.com's Scouts Inc. board, and I would not be surprised if a team took a chance on him late in the first round.
Other Names to Watch: Max Unger (Oregon), Johnathan Luigs (Arkansas), A.Q. Shipley (Penn State)
If the Draft Happened Today...
If the draft happened today, how would the top five picks play out? Like this:
1. Detroit Lions: QB Matthew Stafford, Georgia
There's no denying Detroit needs a quarterback, and right now that is probably the Lions' most pressing need. Which signal-caller will it be? Stafford seems to get the slight edge on a majority of boards, and as of now, he gets the edge here.
2. St. Louis Rams: OT Andre Smith, Alabama
It's no secret that the Rams have needed a solid offensive tackle since Orlando Pace was in his prime, and Smith fits that need. He has the physical attributes and skill to be that type of tackle, and the intangibles to go with it.
3. Kansas City Chiefs: OT Eugene Monroe, Virginia
The Chiefs don't need a QB - they need an anchor on the offensive line. Monroe provides that stability in the first round.
4. Seattle Seahawks: WR Michael Crabtree, Texas Tech
The Seahawks haven't had a big-play wide receiver in quite some time, and Crabtree is an all-world talent. He is, at this point, the best player on the board (and might have been from the start) as well as the best player at a need position.
5. Cleveland Browns: OLB Aaron Curry, Wake Forest
The Browns need help on defense, and Curry is the best player left on the board. He is an athletic linebacker who brings immediate ability to the table. He could start on day one, and Cleveland certainly needs that type of help.
1. Detroit Lions: QB Matthew Stafford, Georgia
There's no denying Detroit needs a quarterback, and right now that is probably the Lions' most pressing need. Which signal-caller will it be? Stafford seems to get the slight edge on a majority of boards, and as of now, he gets the edge here.
2. St. Louis Rams: OT Andre Smith, Alabama
It's no secret that the Rams have needed a solid offensive tackle since Orlando Pace was in his prime, and Smith fits that need. He has the physical attributes and skill to be that type of tackle, and the intangibles to go with it.
3. Kansas City Chiefs: OT Eugene Monroe, Virginia
The Chiefs don't need a QB - they need an anchor on the offensive line. Monroe provides that stability in the first round.
4. Seattle Seahawks: WR Michael Crabtree, Texas Tech
The Seahawks haven't had a big-play wide receiver in quite some time, and Crabtree is an all-world talent. He is, at this point, the best player on the board (and might have been from the start) as well as the best player at a need position.
5. Cleveland Browns: OLB Aaron Curry, Wake Forest
The Browns need help on defense, and Curry is the best player left on the board. He is an athletic linebacker who brings immediate ability to the table. He could start on day one, and Cleveland certainly needs that type of help.
Sunday, January 25, 2009
TOP 5: Wide Receivers
(1) Michael Crabrtree, Texas Tech
(2) Jeremy Maclin, Missouri
(3) Percy Harvin, Florida
(4) Hakeem Nicks, North Carolina
(5) Darrius Heyward-Bey, Maryland
(5) Brandon LaFell, LSU
There's no doubt that Crabtree is the top of the class. He's a physical specimen with a world of talent, and if the Detroit Lions didn't have the first overall pick, I'd say Crabtree had a shot to be the top selection in April. (If Detroit takes another wide receiver, all hell may break loose).
After Crabtree clearly comes Maclin, who is quite the talent himself. I wanted to put Nicks above Harvin, because I think Nicks is a better route-runner and pure receiver than Harvin. But the Florida product is more explosive and a pure playmaker. Don't discount Nicks, though.
After those two come two fine receivers. I know this is a top five, but I can't differentiate between Darrius Heyward-bey and Brandon LaFell. Both are similar in size (LaFell has an inch and a half and nine pounds on Heyward-Bey) and skill, and I think they're largely interchangeable on draft boards.
Other names to watch: Juaquin Iglesias (Oklahoma), Mike Thomas (Arizona)
I've always liked Iglesias' style of play and his big-play ability. He thrived with Sam Bradford at the helm, and I think he could slot into a third receiver role very well in the NFL. As for Thomas, he is certainly undersized (5'8", 197), but he plays with a lot of heart and he's a very quick receiver. With some good workouts, he could rise up teams' boards. He also has a bit of special teams potential.
(2) Jeremy Maclin, Missouri
(3) Percy Harvin, Florida
(4) Hakeem Nicks, North Carolina
(5) Darrius Heyward-Bey, Maryland
(5) Brandon LaFell, LSU
There's no doubt that Crabtree is the top of the class. He's a physical specimen with a world of talent, and if the Detroit Lions didn't have the first overall pick, I'd say Crabtree had a shot to be the top selection in April. (If Detroit takes another wide receiver, all hell may break loose).
After Crabtree clearly comes Maclin, who is quite the talent himself. I wanted to put Nicks above Harvin, because I think Nicks is a better route-runner and pure receiver than Harvin. But the Florida product is more explosive and a pure playmaker. Don't discount Nicks, though.
After those two come two fine receivers. I know this is a top five, but I can't differentiate between Darrius Heyward-bey and Brandon LaFell. Both are similar in size (LaFell has an inch and a half and nine pounds on Heyward-Bey) and skill, and I think they're largely interchangeable on draft boards.
Other names to watch: Juaquin Iglesias (Oklahoma), Mike Thomas (Arizona)
I've always liked Iglesias' style of play and his big-play ability. He thrived with Sam Bradford at the helm, and I think he could slot into a third receiver role very well in the NFL. As for Thomas, he is certainly undersized (5'8", 197), but he plays with a lot of heart and he's a very quick receiver. With some good workouts, he could rise up teams' boards. He also has a bit of special teams potential.
Friday, January 23, 2009
TOP 5: Running Backs
(1) Knowshon Moreno, Georgia
(2) Beanie Wells, Ohio State
(3) LeSean McCoy, Pittsburgh
(4) Shonn Greene, Iowa
(5) Javon Ringer, Michigan State
Moreno, Wells and McCoy are pretty close, but the edge goes to the Georgia back. His name surfaced in pre-season Heisman Trophy discussions, but that didn't pan out. Still, Moreno, is a high-quality back with a ton of pro potential.
Don't count out the diminutive Ringer, either. He cracks my top five because of his work ethic and determination. He gave opposing defenses fits throughout the year, and I think he's got what it takes work-wise to make it to the next level. Ringer is only 5'9", but I think teams are beginning to realize that height isn't the be-all, end-all. Just look at the success of Maurice Jones Drew (5'7") and Darren Sproles (5'6"). Plus, 1,600+ yards and 22 touchdowns speaks volumes about Ringer's skill.
Other names to watch: Glen Coffee (Alabama), Jeremiah Johnson (Oregon)
At this point in time, I'd be surprised if either of these two guys were drafted before the third round. Coffee has the better shot of the two, but I think Round 3 is a better target for these guys. Coffee is small for his height (a bit under 200 pounds at 6'1"), but doesn't shy away from bruising guys from time-to-time. Johnson has great quickness and could translate into a fine receiving back or special teams player.
(2) Beanie Wells, Ohio State
(3) LeSean McCoy, Pittsburgh
(4) Shonn Greene, Iowa
(5) Javon Ringer, Michigan State
Moreno, Wells and McCoy are pretty close, but the edge goes to the Georgia back. His name surfaced in pre-season Heisman Trophy discussions, but that didn't pan out. Still, Moreno, is a high-quality back with a ton of pro potential.
Don't count out the diminutive Ringer, either. He cracks my top five because of his work ethic and determination. He gave opposing defenses fits throughout the year, and I think he's got what it takes work-wise to make it to the next level. Ringer is only 5'9", but I think teams are beginning to realize that height isn't the be-all, end-all. Just look at the success of Maurice Jones Drew (5'7") and Darren Sproles (5'6"). Plus, 1,600+ yards and 22 touchdowns speaks volumes about Ringer's skill.
Other names to watch: Glen Coffee (Alabama), Jeremiah Johnson (Oregon)
At this point in time, I'd be surprised if either of these two guys were drafted before the third round. Coffee has the better shot of the two, but I think Round 3 is a better target for these guys. Coffee is small for his height (a bit under 200 pounds at 6'1"), but doesn't shy away from bruising guys from time-to-time. Johnson has great quickness and could translate into a fine receiving back or special teams player.
TOP 5: Quarterbacks
(1) Matthew Stafford, Georgia
(1) Mark Sanchez, USC
(3) Josh Freeman, Kansas State
(4) Nate Davis, Ball State
(5) Rhett Bomar, Sam Houston State
The question at the quarterback position remains: Who is number one? Is it Stafford or Sanchez?. Depending on who you ask, you will get a different answer. I have done nothing to settle that debate because I truly see them on equal footing for now. That could change, of course, as teams continue to evaluate their performance at the various scouting stops.
Everyone agrees, however, that after these two, it's really slim pickings. Freeman has ascended the draft charts to be the (almost) consensus number three, with Davis close behind.
Everyone also seems to be in agreement that Texas Tech's Graham Harrell and Missouri's Chase Daniel are quickly falling out of favor. I was never high on Harrell, but I think Daniel could surprise as a late-round draft pick.
Other names to watch: Drew Willy (Buffalo), Cullen Harper (Clemson), Rudy Carpenter (Arizona State)
These are not the next three names on my list, but they're three guys who should garner some attention on day two and, if drafted, have a lot of potential.
(1) Mark Sanchez, USC
(3) Josh Freeman, Kansas State
(4) Nate Davis, Ball State
(5) Rhett Bomar, Sam Houston State
The question at the quarterback position remains: Who is number one? Is it Stafford or Sanchez?. Depending on who you ask, you will get a different answer. I have done nothing to settle that debate because I truly see them on equal footing for now. That could change, of course, as teams continue to evaluate their performance at the various scouting stops.
Everyone agrees, however, that after these two, it's really slim pickings. Freeman has ascended the draft charts to be the (almost) consensus number three, with Davis close behind.
Everyone also seems to be in agreement that Texas Tech's Graham Harrell and Missouri's Chase Daniel are quickly falling out of favor. I was never high on Harrell, but I think Daniel could surprise as a late-round draft pick.
Other names to watch: Drew Willy (Buffalo), Cullen Harper (Clemson), Rudy Carpenter (Arizona State)
These are not the next three names on my list, but they're three guys who should garner some attention on day two and, if drafted, have a lot of potential.
Mock Critique: SI.com's Don Banks
[Don Banks' mock draft can be found here]
The big break from a lot of different drafts here is that Banks has the Detroit Lions taking Alabama OT Andre Smith instead of Georgia QB Matthew Stafford. I can't say I completely disagree, but I have the feeling that Stafford and Mark Sanchez are pro-type quarterbacks who would fit well. Can I see Detroit going non-QB? Absolutely. Do I think they will? No. The rest of Banks' top 10 is pretty feasible, although you already know my feelings on the Kansas City Chiefs and their QB situation. Give Tyler Thigpen a chance.
I'd be stunned if the Buffalo Bills took TE Brandon Pettigrew at 11. Sure, the Bills need help on offense, but not from the TE position. WR Jeremy Maclin seems more likely for Buffalo if they choose an offensive player. I also disagree with Banks' prediction at 12. The Denver Broncos should grab DT B.J. Raji if he's on the board, which he is in this mock. The success of the 3-4 defense is predicated on the defensive tackle position moreso than the ILB position.
I don't have too many qualms with the rest of Banks' draft either. Again, at this point, I'm not going to critique each and every pick. I will say one thing though: If the Tennessee Titans are able to grab Percy Harvin at 30, Nashville should throw a party. He's a very versatile player and I think he would give the Titans the explosive receiving threat they didn't have this year.
The big break from a lot of different drafts here is that Banks has the Detroit Lions taking Alabama OT Andre Smith instead of Georgia QB Matthew Stafford. I can't say I completely disagree, but I have the feeling that Stafford and Mark Sanchez are pro-type quarterbacks who would fit well. Can I see Detroit going non-QB? Absolutely. Do I think they will? No. The rest of Banks' top 10 is pretty feasible, although you already know my feelings on the Kansas City Chiefs and their QB situation. Give Tyler Thigpen a chance.
I'd be stunned if the Buffalo Bills took TE Brandon Pettigrew at 11. Sure, the Bills need help on offense, but not from the TE position. WR Jeremy Maclin seems more likely for Buffalo if they choose an offensive player. I also disagree with Banks' prediction at 12. The Denver Broncos should grab DT B.J. Raji if he's on the board, which he is in this mock. The success of the 3-4 defense is predicated on the defensive tackle position moreso than the ILB position.
I don't have too many qualms with the rest of Banks' draft either. Again, at this point, I'm not going to critique each and every pick. I will say one thing though: If the Tennessee Titans are able to grab Percy Harvin at 30, Nashville should throw a party. He's a very versatile player and I think he would give the Titans the explosive receiving threat they didn't have this year.
What To Expect From This Blog
There are a lot of things you can expect:
- Critiques of other people's mock drafts: Below this post, I did a brief critique of Mel Kiper's first mock draft. Look for more critiques in the near-future, including one on SI.com's Don Banks' mock.
- Player Profiles: From time-to-time, I'll take a look at specific prospects and talk about their game and their pro potential.
- Player Rankings: I'll give you my top players at each position.
- The Mock: There should be multiple versions of my mock draft, but of course, the one the week of the draft is the one that matters most.
- Critiques of other people's mock drafts: Below this post, I did a brief critique of Mel Kiper's first mock draft. Look for more critiques in the near-future, including one on SI.com's Don Banks' mock.
- Player Profiles: From time-to-time, I'll take a look at specific prospects and talk about their game and their pro potential.
- Player Rankings: I'll give you my top players at each position.
- The Mock: There should be multiple versions of my mock draft, but of course, the one the week of the draft is the one that matters most.
Mock Critique: Kiper Version 1.0
ESPN's Mel Kiper Jr. released his first 2009 mock draft, which officially signals the start of the 2009 mocking season. Usually, anything done before that is simply attempts at grabbing the air. Nothing substantive occurs until the Duke of the Draft...ok, I'll stop putting Kiper on a pedestal.
But with the release of Kiper's first version (which, to no surprise, is only available in part to non-Insider subscribers [don't worry, I'll critique the second half of the first round too)], it provides us with some things to talk about.
There are a few picks I can't agree with. We'll start with my beloved New York Jets. There's just no way they can take Florida WR Percy Harvin with the 17th pick. There's no denying the Jets need a receiver to step up and be a big-play guy, but Harvin is not the answer. He's only about 5-10, and while he's an explosive weapon who can play multiple positions, he doesn't fit the type of receiver the team needs. They need a tall receiver - not another Santana Moss.
Backtracking for a moment, Kiper has the Kansas City Chiefs going with USC QB Mark Sanchez at No. 3. I'm not sold on this, at least for now. Tyler Thigpen showed considerable growth throughout the season, and I have to think there's some institutional confidence in him - perhaps enough to mean KC will not go QB in the first round.
A team that I do think will eventually take a quarterback is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, I don't think they will go that route in the first round. Kiper has the team grabbing Josh Freeman, the signal-caller from Kansas State, at 19. Freeman's stock has taken a jump in recent weeks, but I'm not sold on him. I think the team is more likely to use a late-round selection to draft a QB. To me, it makes sense to remain with Jeff Garcia at the helm, at least for the first year of the new coaching regime. I know the rookie coach-QB combo worked this year, but I wouldn't expect similar results.
But with the release of Kiper's first version (which, to no surprise, is only available in part to non-Insider subscribers [don't worry, I'll critique the second half of the first round too)], it provides us with some things to talk about.
There are a few picks I can't agree with. We'll start with my beloved New York Jets. There's just no way they can take Florida WR Percy Harvin with the 17th pick. There's no denying the Jets need a receiver to step up and be a big-play guy, but Harvin is not the answer. He's only about 5-10, and while he's an explosive weapon who can play multiple positions, he doesn't fit the type of receiver the team needs. They need a tall receiver - not another Santana Moss.
Backtracking for a moment, Kiper has the Kansas City Chiefs going with USC QB Mark Sanchez at No. 3. I'm not sold on this, at least for now. Tyler Thigpen showed considerable growth throughout the season, and I have to think there's some institutional confidence in him - perhaps enough to mean KC will not go QB in the first round.
A team that I do think will eventually take a quarterback is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, I don't think they will go that route in the first round. Kiper has the team grabbing Josh Freeman, the signal-caller from Kansas State, at 19. Freeman's stock has taken a jump in recent weeks, but I'm not sold on him. I think the team is more likely to use a late-round selection to draft a QB. To me, it makes sense to remain with Jeff Garcia at the helm, at least for the first year of the new coaching regime. I know the rookie coach-QB combo worked this year, but I wouldn't expect similar results.
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